About AI Prognostications

There is no shortage of claims about how AI will reshape the economy and society. Some are carefully reasoned; many are not. Almost none are tracked systematically to see if they come true.

AI Prognostications is an attempt to change that. We extract testable, time-bounded predictions about AI from public sources, catalog them with structured metadata, and maintain them as a public record. As time passes and evidence accumulates, we will revisit these claims and update their status.

The goal is not to debunk or endorse any particular claim, but to create a shared, transparent record of what was predicted, by whom, and when, so that the public conversation about AI can be grounded in evidence.

How It Works

Articles are analyzed using a structured extraction process, then manually reviewed before publication. For details, see our methodology.

Contact

AI Prognostications is maintained by Trey Causey.